Nothing about the rules has changed. The math still works the same. The guidelines are still the guidelines. Yet January continues to be the month where income calculations create unnecessary friction.Welcome to the Zone of Confusion.
This happens every year for one simple reason: we’re verifying income across two tax years while only partially living in the new one. If you don’t understand how that overlap works, files stall, conditions pile up, and closings drift.
Let’s clear it up.
Early January pay stubs almost never represent a complete 30-day income picture. That’s not an underwriting opinion — it’s just math. And the guidelines require that the paystub used represents a full 30
Underwriters aren’t trying to be difficult. They’re trying to confirm:
The solution (if you can’t get a VOE):
Include the last December 2025 pay stub to complete the picture along with the January paystubs
When paired correctly, a December 2025 pay stub plus early January 2026 pay stubs gives underwriting exactly what they need — and avoids back-and-forth conditions that cost time.
January creates confusion because everyone expects new W-2s to exist immediately. In reality, employers are not required to issue W-2s until January 31, 2026.
That timing matters.
What income documentation is acceptable depends on the application date, not wishful thinking.
Here’s the practical framework for early-year files:
When teams understand this, conditions get cleaner and borrowers feel less whiplash from document requests that seem arbitrary. January underwriting isn’t about “new year, new docs.” it is about knowing what your borrower may or may not have when!
Self-employed income doesn’t get a January pass. One of the most common slowdowns in early 2026 files is mismatched tax documentation — mixing years that don’t belong together.
The personal return vs business return issue
Personal and business tax returns must align by year. We often get the question, my borrower has his business returns done but not their personal returns so can I just use 2025 business returns?
While it may be true that the business returns are finalized (per the IRS due March 15th) , underwriting guidelines always reference and go off of the personal returns filed. Keep in mind the mortgage is not for the business, it is for the borrower. They may have completed “a business return” but what if they have 3 businesses, four rentals, trust income, and alimony? When you submit your loan to the investors it is all about the 4506T confirming the personal returns (which then proves the business returns are also done)!
For borrowers who have not yet filed 2025 returns, underwriting will rely on 2024 and 2023, supported by year-to-date P&Ls when required by their guidelines. For government loans you must have P/L’s anytime that last personal returns is more than one quarter old. This same rule Fannie and Freddie don’t “require” this like FHA but is a great practice!
The mistake happens when teams try to “help” by submitting partial updates that actually create inconsistencies.
Payroll cycles lag.
Tax forms take time.
Borrowers assume “new year” means “new paperwork.”
Underwriting still needs proof, not assumptions.
The teams that move fastest in January aren’t the ones chasing the newest documents — they’re the ones assembling the clearest story using what already exists.
Income calculation isn’t about speed.
It’s about accuracy, context, and consistency.
Clear those three, and January becomes just another month.